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Correlation Analysis

Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock vs Dollar Tree Inc.

GOOG vs DLTR

-0.379

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

GOOG logo

Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock

GOOG

Alphabet is a holding company that wholly owns internet giant Google. The California-based company derives slightly less than 90% of its revenue from Google services, the vast majority of which is advertising sales. Alongside online ads, Google services houses sales stemming from Google's subscription services (YouTube TV and YouTube Music, among others), platforms (sales and in-app purchases on Play Store), and devices (Chromebooks, Pixel smartphones, and smart home products such as Chromecast). Google's cloud computing platform accounts for roughly 10% of Alphabet's revenue. The firm's investments in up-and-coming technologies such as self-driving cars (Waymo), health (Verily), and internet access (Google Fiber) make up the rest.

Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees

DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR

Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2024, Dollar Tree generated over $17 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.

Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: GOOGGray: DLTR36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

DLTR leads GOOG by 6 days

DLTR tends to move before GOOG.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.384 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.336

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.168

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.522

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

14.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.1%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.425, -0.330]

Scatter

XY Regression

72.7100150200250300326.955.86080100120140160180182Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital StockDollar Tree Inc.Data pointsFit (r = -0.379)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

GOOG logo

Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock

GOOG

Market cap 3.6T · 190,820 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR

Market cap 21.9B · 153,032 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

15

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.1869

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

148.8086

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-goog-vs-stock-dltr-daily-20260408-3ddqjr