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Correlation Analysis

GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

GFS vs XOM

-0.382

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

GFS logo

GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares

GFS

GlobalFoundries is a top-five contract semiconductor manufacturer globally. It was originally the manufacturing arm of Advanced Micro Devices before it was spun out in 2009. The foundry sells chips into a range of end markets including smartphones, PCs, Internet of Things, data centers, automotive, industrial, and so on, but primarily focuses on more mature process technologies. Until 2021, the firm was privately held by Mubadala Investment, the sovereign wealth fund of the United Arab Emirates, which remains its controlling shareholder today. GlobalFoundries merged with Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing in 2009 and acquired IBM's chipmaking business in 2015. GF is headquartered in Malta, New York, and has about 13,000 staff.

Market cap 23.9B · 14,000 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Oct 28, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,113 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: GFSGray: XOM36 of 1,113 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads GFS by 6 days

XOM tends to move before GFS.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.394 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.080

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.566

21 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

14.6%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.9%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,113

Deep shared window — 1,113 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.431, -0.330]

Scatter

XY Regression

304050607073.253.46080100120140160172.1GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary SharesExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.382)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,113 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,113

1,254

Normalized

1,113

1,254

Prepared

1,113

1,254

Aligned

1,113

1,113

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

141

A: 0 / B: 141

Series A

GFS logo

GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares

GFS

Market cap 23.9B · 14,000 employees

Stock · 1,113 raw → 1,113 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

25

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.6490

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

139.5019

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-gfs-vs-stock-xom-daily