Correlation Analysis
GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares vs Mastercard Incorporated
GFS vs MA
-0.807
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
↗GFS
GlobalFoundries is a top-five contract semiconductor manufacturer globally. It was originally the manufacturing arm of Advanced Micro Devices before it was spun out in 2009. The foundry sells chips into a range of end markets including smartphones, PCs, Internet of Things, data centers, automotive, industrial, and so on, but primarily focuses on more mature process technologies. Until 2021, the firm was privately held by Mubadala Investment, the sovereign wealth fund of the United Arab Emirates, which remains its controlling shareholder today. GlobalFoundries merged with Chartered Semiconductor Manufacturing in 2009 and acquired IBM's chipmaking business in 2015. GF is headquartered in Malta, New York, and has about 13,000 staff.
Market cap 23.9B · 14,000 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads GFS by 6 days
MA tends to move before GFS.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.817 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.048
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.526
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.750
19 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
65.2%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
59.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,113
Deep shared window — 1,113 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.827, -0.786]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,113 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,113
1,254
Normalized
1,113
1,254
Prepared
1,113
1,254
Aligned
1,113
1,113
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
141
A: 0 / B: 141
Series A
GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
GFS
Market cap 23.9B · 14,000 employees
Stock · 1,113 raw → 1,113 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-6.9092
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
788.3225
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
GFS
GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
Highest
-0.197
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,113 data points
Lowest
-0.797
VISA Inc.
V · 1,113 data points
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-gfs-vs-stock-ma-daily