Correlation Analysis
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock vs Eli Lilly & Co.
EXPE vs LLY
+0.456
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
↗EXPE
Expedia is the world's second-largest online travel agency by bookings, offering services for lodging (80% of total 2025 sales), air tickets (3%), rental cars, cruises, in-destination, and other (9%), and advertising revenue (8%). Expedia operates a number of branded travel booking sites, but its three core online travel agency brands are Expedia, Hotels.com, and alternative accommodations brand Vrbo. It also has a metasearch brand, Trivago. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of sales and profits.
Market cap 28.1B · 16,000 employees
Eli Lilly & Co.
↗LLY
Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
LLY leads EXPE by 6 days
LLY tends to move before EXPE.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.462 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.512
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.428
20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
20.8%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
51.1%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.412, 0.499]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
EXPE
Market cap 28.1B · 16,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Eli Lilly & Co.
LLY
Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
2.6586
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
161.6121
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.778
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM · 1,254 data points
Lowest
+0.112
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-expe-vs-stock-lly-daily