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Correlation Analysis

Darden Restaurants, Inc. vs Eli Lilly & Co.

DRI vs LLY

+0.717

Strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

DRI logo

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

DRI

Darden Restaurants is the largest global full-service dining operator, with over $12 billion in system sales across 2,159 company-owned stores at the end of fiscal 2025, spanning the US and Canada. The firm operates 10 banners in four segments, including Olive Garden (43% of sales), LongHorn Steakhouse (25%), and fine dining (21%), which includes The Capital Grille, Ruth's Chris, and Eddie V's. The other 11% of sales comes from smaller concepts such as Yard House and Cheddar's. Darden primarily generates revenue through sales of food and beverage items at its company-owned restaurants. It also earns royalties on sales from 154 franchised locations in US and international markets, which sit within the other segment but are immaterial to consolidated results.

Market cap 22.5B · 197,924 employees

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: DRIGray: LLY36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

LLY leads DRI by 6 days

LLY tends to move before DRI.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.720 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.185

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.861

20 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

51.4%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.689, 0.743]

Scatter

XY Regression

114.5120140160180200220221.11142004006008001,0001,142Darden Restaurants, Inc.Eli Lilly & Co.Data pointsFit (r = 0.717)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

DRI logo

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

DRI

Market cap 22.5B · 197,924 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

11

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

7.5012

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

-634.5862

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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