Correlation Analysis
Corpay, Inc. vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
CPAY vs WMT
+0.264
Light positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Corpay, Inc.
↗CPAY
Corpay Inc is a corporate payments company that helps businesses and consumers manage and pay their expenses. The company offers payment and spend management solutions, including accounts payable automation, cross-border payments, commercial card programs, vehicle payment solutions, and lodging payment services. Its reportable segments are: Corporate Payments, Vehicle Payments, Lodging Payments and Other. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Vehicle Payments segment, which helps customers to pay for vehicle related expenses. Geographically, it derives the maximum revenue from the United States and the rest from Brazil, the United Kingdom and other countries.
Market cap 20.3B · 11,800 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
CPAY leads WMT by 6 days
CPAY tends to move before WMT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.266 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.122
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.290
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.775
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
7.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
57.4%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
510
Robust shared window — 510 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.182, 0.343]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
510 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
510
1,254
Normalized
510
1,254
Prepared
510
1,254
Aligned
510
510
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
744
A: 0 / B: 744
Series A
Corpay, Inc.
CPAY
Market cap 20.3B · 11,800 employees
Stock · 510 raw → 510 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
29
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1567
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
42.8611
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-cpay-vs-stock-wmt-daily