Correlation Analysis
Corpay, Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated
CPAY vs MA
+0.451
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Corpay, Inc.
↗CPAY
Corpay Inc is a corporate payments company that helps businesses and consumers manage and pay their expenses. The company offers payment and spend management solutions, including accounts payable automation, cross-border payments, commercial card programs, vehicle payment solutions, and lodging payment services. Its reportable segments are: Corporate Payments, Vehicle Payments, Lodging Payments and Other. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Vehicle Payments segment, which helps customers to pay for vehicle related expenses. Geographically, it derives the maximum revenue from the United States and the rest from Brazil, the United Kingdom and other countries.
Market cap 20.3B · 11,800 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
in sync
CPAY and MA tend to move at the same time.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.451 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.202
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.284
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.732
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
20.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
68.6%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
510
Robust shared window — 510 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.379, 0.518]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
510 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
510
1,254
Normalized
510
1,254
Prepared
510
1,254
Aligned
510
510
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
744
A: 0 / B: 744
Series A
Corpay, Inc.
CPAY
Market cap 20.3B · 11,800 employees
Stock · 510 raw → 510 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.6511
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
316.9889
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-cpay-vs-stock-ma-daily