Correlation Analysis
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Walmart Inc. Common Stock
COIN vs WMT
+0.521
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗COIN
Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the leading cryptocurrency exchange platform in the United States. The company intends to be the safe and regulation-compliant point of entry for retail investors and institutions into the cryptocurrency economy. Users can establish an account directly with the firm, instead of using an intermediary, and many choose to allow Coinbase to act as a custodian for their cryptocurrency, giving the company breadth beyond that of a traditional financial exchange. While the company still generates the majority of its revenue from transaction fees charged to its retail customers, Coinbase uses internal investment and acquisitions to expand into adjacent businesses, such as prime brokerage and data analytics.
Market cap 46.2B · 4,951 employees
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
↗WMT
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
Market cap 1T
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
COIN leads WMT by 6 days
COIN tends to move before WMT.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.530 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.369
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.867
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.632
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
27.1%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
53.8%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,251
Deep shared window — 1,251 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.479, 0.560]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,251 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,251
1,254
Normalized
1,251
1,254
Prepared
1,251
1,254
Aligned
1,251
1,251
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
3
A: 0 / B: 3
Series A
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
COIN
Market cap 46.2B · 4,951 employees
Stock · 1,251 raw → 1,251 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
27
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1355
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
41.7187
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
COIN
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.779
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,251 data points
Lowest
-0.142
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,251 data points
Saved 6 hours ago · ID: stock-coin-vs-stock-wmt-daily