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Correlation Analysis

Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

COIN vs XOM

-0.142

Weak inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

COIN logo

Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

COIN

Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the leading cryptocurrency exchange platform in the United States. The company intends to be the safe and regulation-compliant point of entry for retail investors and institutions into the cryptocurrency economy. Users can establish an account directly with the firm, instead of using an intermediary, and many choose to allow Coinbase to act as a custodian for their cryptocurrency, giving the company breadth beyond that of a traditional financial exchange. While the company still generates the majority of its revenue from transaction fees charged to its retail customers, Coinbase uses internal investment and acquisitions to expand into adjacent businesses, such as prime brokerage and data analytics.

Market cap 46.2B · 4,951 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 14, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,251 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: COINGray: XOM36 of 1,251 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

COIN leads XOM by 1 day

COIN tends to move before XOM.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.142 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.292

11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.193

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.620

15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

2.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,251

Deep shared window — 1,251 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.196, -0.087]

Scatter

XY Regression

510020030040044447.86080100120140160172.5Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common StockExxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.142)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,251 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,251

1,254

Normalized

1,251

1,254

Prepared

1,251

1,254

Aligned

1,251

1,251

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

3

A: 0 / B: 3

Series A

COIN logo

Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

COIN

Market cap 46.2B · 4,951 employees

Stock · 1,251 raw → 1,251 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

27

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.0333

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

107.7272

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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