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Correlation Analysis

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B vs Toast, Inc.

BRK.B vs TOST

+0.508

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

BRK.B logo

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B

BRK.B

Berkshire Hathaway is a holding company with a wide array of subsidiaries engaged in diverse activities. The firm's core business segment is insurance, run primarily through Geico, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group, and Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. Berkshire has used the excess cash thrown off from its operations to acquire Burlington Northern Santa Fe (railroad), Berkshire Hathaway Energy (utilities and energy distributors), and the companies that make up its manufacturing, service, and retailing operations (which include Precision Castparts, Lubrizol, Clayton Homes, Marmon, and IMC/ISCAR). The conglomerate is unique in that it is run on a completely decentralized basis. Berkshire is expected to generate close to $375 billion in revenue in 2025.

Market cap 1T

TOST logo

Toast, Inc.

TOST

Toast Inc is a cloud-based, all-in-one digital technology platform purpose-built for the restaurant community. The company provides a comprehensive platform of software-as-a-service (SaaS) products and financial technology solutions, including integrated payment processing, restaurant-grade hardware, and a broad ecosystem of third-party partners. It serves as a restaurant operating system, connecting front of house and back of house operations across service models such as dine-in, takeout, and delivery. It operates through one reportable segment consisting of its SaaS products, financial technology solutions, integrated payments, hardware, and partner ecosystem.

Market cap 15.9B · 6,500 employees

Sep 22, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,139 data pointsStockStock

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: BRK.BGray: TOST36 of 1,139 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

BRK.B leads TOST by 6 days

BRK.B tends to move before TOST.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.538 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.117

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.071

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.495

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

25.8%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

60.7%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,139

Deep shared window — 1,139 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.464, 0.550]

Scatter

XY Regression

253.93003504004505005469.810203040506066.4BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class BToast, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.508)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,139 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,139

Normalized

1,254

1,139

Prepared

1,254

1,139

Aligned

1,139

1,139

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

115

A: 115 / B: 0

Series A

BRK.B logo

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B

BRK.B

Market cap 1T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

TOST logo

Toast, Inc.

TOST

Market cap 15.9B · 6,500 employees

Stock · 1,139 raw → 1,139 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

1

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.0642

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

2.4510

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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