Correlation Analysis
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock vs Carrier Global Corporation
AVGO vs CARR
+0.608
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
↗AVGO
Broadcom is one of the largest semiconductor companies in the world and has also expanded into infrastructure software. Its semiconductors primarily serve computing and networking, with custom AI accelerators now accounting for the bulk of the business. It is primarily a fabless designer, but holds some manufacturing in-house, such as for its best-of-breed film bulk acoustic resonator filters that sell into the Apple iPhone. In software, it sells virtualization, infrastructure, and security software to large enterprises, financial institutions, and governments. Broadcom is the product of consolidation. Its businesses are an amalgamation of former companies like legacy Broadcom and Avago Technologies in chips, as well as VMware, Brocade, CA Technologies, and Symantec in software.
Market cap 1.5T
Carrier Global Corporation
↗CARR
Carrier Global, spun out of United Technologies in 2020, manufactures and services commercial and residential HVAC systems and transportation refrigeration solutions under its flagship Carrier brand, as well as Bryant, Payne, Heil, and others across various price points. In 2024, Carrier acquired Viessmann Climate Solutions to expand its footprint in Europe with heat pumps, boilers, and solar PV equipment. Proceeds from the sale of Carrier's fire and security (Honeywell) and commercial refrigeration (Haier) businesses reduced debt and focused the company on global HVAC and refrigeration solutions. Carrier generates 75% of sales from equipment and 25% from parts and services. The company derives 50% of revenue from the US, 30% from Europe, and 20% from the Asia-Pacific region.
Market cap 46.4B · 47,000 employees
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
CARR leads AVGO by 6 days
CARR tends to move before AVGO.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.618 (they moved in the same direction).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.462
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.061
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.742
14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
37.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
64.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.572, 0.642]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
AVGO
Market cap 1.5T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Carrier Global Corporation
CARR
Market cap 46.4B · 47,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
11
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0678
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
45.5748
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Highest
+0.981
GE Aerospace
GE · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.903
The Kraft Heinz Company Common Stock
KHC · 1,254 data points
CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
Highest
+0.803
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.125
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-avgo-vs-stock-carr-daily-20260408-u69p4t