Correlation Analysis
Carrier Global Corporation vs Johnson & Johnson
CARR vs JNJ
-0.125
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Carrier Global Corporation
↗CARR
Carrier Global, spun out of United Technologies in 2020, manufactures and services commercial and residential HVAC systems and transportation refrigeration solutions under its flagship Carrier brand, as well as Bryant, Payne, Heil, and others across various price points. In 2024, Carrier acquired Viessmann Climate Solutions to expand its footprint in Europe with heat pumps, boilers, and solar PV equipment. Proceeds from the sale of Carrier's fire and security (Honeywell) and commercial refrigeration (Haier) businesses reduced debt and focused the company on global HVAC and refrigeration solutions. Carrier generates 75% of sales from equipment and 25% from parts and services. The company derives 50% of revenue from the US, 30% from Europe, and 20% from the Asia-Pacific region.
Market cap 46.4B · 47,000 employees
Johnson & Johnson
↗JNJ
Johnson & Johnson is the world's largest and most diverse healthcare firm. It has two divisions: innovative medicine and medtech. These now represent all of the company's sales following the divestment of the consumer business, Kenvue, in 2023. After restructurings in 2023-24, the drug division focuses on three main therapeutic areas: immunology, oncology, and neurology. Geographically, just over half of total revenue is generated in the United States.
Market cap 580.4B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
JNJ leads CARR by 6 days
JNJ tends to move before CARR.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.147 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.597
10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.245
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.677
16 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
1.6%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
55.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.180, -0.071]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Carrier Global Corporation
CARR
Market cap 46.4B · 47,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
Market cap 580.4B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
28
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2188
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
180.4946
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 4 hours ago · ID: stock-carr-vs-stock-jnj-daily