Correlation Analysis
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. vs Mastercard Incorporated
AVB vs MA
-0.063
Weak inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
↗AVB
AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of 296 apartment communities with more than 90,000 units and is developing 24 additional properties with approximately 8,600 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England, New York/New Jersey, Washington, D.C., California, and the Pacific Northwest.
Market cap 23.3B · 3,041 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
MA leads AVB by 6 days
MA tends to move before AVB.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.072 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.075
13 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.220
11 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.871
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
62.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.05
95% CI: [-0.118, -0.007]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
AVB
Market cap 23.3B · 3,041 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
15
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.2232
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
476.7953
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 5 hours ago · ID: stock-avb-vs-stock-ma-daily