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Correlation Analysis

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. vs Exxon Mobil Corporation

AVB vs XOM

-0.540

Moderate inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

AVB logo

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB

AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of 296 apartment communities with more than 90,000 units and is developing 24 additional properties with approximately 8,600 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England, New York/New Jersey, Washington, D.C., California, and the Pacific Northwest.

Market cap 23.3B · 3,041 employees

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2025, it produced 3.3 million barrels of liquids and 8.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves were 19.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 69% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.3 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Market cap 680.7B

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockEnergy

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: AVBGray: XOM36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

XOM leads AVB by 6 days

XOM tends to move before AVB.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.555 (they moved in opposite directions).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.123

10 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

-0.077

7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.557

18 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

29.2%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

55.3%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.578, -0.500]

Scatter

XY Regression

155160180200220240260262.445.26080100120140160172.7AvalonBay Communities, Inc.Exxon Mobil CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.54)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AVB logo

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

AVB

Market cap 23.3B · 3,041 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XOM logo

Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM

Market cap 680.7B

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

21

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.5008

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

201.4280

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

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