Correlation Analysis
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. vs Costco Wholesale Corp
AVB vs COST
+0.002
Near-zero positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
↗AVB
AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of 296 apartment communities with more than 90,000 units and is developing 24 additional properties with approximately 8,600 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England, New York/New Jersey, Washington, D.C., California, and the Pacific Northwest.
Market cap 23.3B · 3,041 employees
Costco Wholesale Corp
↗COST
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
Market cap 451.9B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
COST leads AVB by 6 days
COST tends to move before AVB.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.005 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.262
15 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.455
9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.351
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
0.0%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
n.s.
95% CI: [-0.053, 0.057]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
AVB
Market cap 23.3B · 3,041 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Costco Wholesale Corp
COST
Market cap 451.9B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0182
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
678.5699
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
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