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Correlation Analysis

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. vs Eli Lilly & Co.

APD vs LLY

+0.029

Near-zero positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

APD logo

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.

APD

Since its founding in 1940, Air Products has become one of the leading industrial gas suppliers globally, with operations in 50 countries and 19,000 employees. The company is the world's largest supplier of hydrogen and helium. It has a unique portfolio serving customers across industries, including chemicals, energy, healthcare, metals, and electronics. Air Products generated roughly $12 billion in revenue in fiscal 2025.

Market cap 65.5B · 21,300 employees

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Eli Lilly is a drug firm with a focus on neuroscience, cardiometabolic, cancer, and immunology. Lilly's key products include Verzenio for cancer; Mounjaro, Zepbound, Jardiance, Trulicity, Humalog, and Humulin for cardiometabolic; and Taltz and Olumiant for immunology.

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockMaterialsHealthcare

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: APDGray: LLY36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

LLY leads APD by 6 days

LLY tends to move before APD.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.038 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

-0.566

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.319

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.508

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

0.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

57.4%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

n.s.

95% CI: [-0.027, 0.084]

Scatter

XY Regression

209.8220240260280300320323.11142004006008001,0001,142Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.Eli Lilly & Co.Data pointsFit (r = 0.029)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

APD logo

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.

APD

Market cap 65.5B · 21,300 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

LLY logo

Eli Lilly & Co.

LLY

Market cap 828.2B · 50,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

5

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3135

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

482.7309

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-apd-vs-stock-lly-daily