Correlation Analysis
Amazon.Com Inc vs XPO, Inc.
AMZN vs XPO
+0.823
Strong positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Amazon.Com Inc
↗AMZN
Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Market cap 2.3T
XPO, Inc.
↗XPO
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
Market cap 24B · 37,000 employees
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Who Moves First
XPO leads AMZN by 6 days
XPO tends to move before AMZN.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.827 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.683
16 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.516
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.734
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
67.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
61.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.804, 0.840]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN
Market cap 2.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
XPO, Inc.
XPO
Market cap 24B · 37,000 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
47
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.8841
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-63.5283
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-xpo-daily-20260408-5oonep