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Correlation Analysis

Nvidia Corp vs XPO, Inc.

NVDA vs XPO

+0.933

Very strong positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.

Market cap 4.3T

XPO logo

XPO, Inc.

XPO

Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. We estimate LTL shipping makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. However, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.

Market cap 24B · 37,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 data pointsStockStockTechnology

Time Series

Relative Performance

Green: NVDAGray: XPO36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

NVDA and XPO tend to move at the same time.

After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was +0.933 (they moved in the same direction).

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.298

17 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.983

6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.748

12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

87.0%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

63.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.925, 0.940]

Scatter

XY Regression

-1.705010015020021816.250100150200213.9Nvidia CorpXPO, Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.933)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

NVDA logo

Nvidia Corp

NVDA

Market cap 4.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

XPO logo

XPO, Inc.

XPO

Market cap 24B · 37,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

24

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.6910

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

31.1640

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-xpo-daily-20260408-wi2dly