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Correlation Analysis

Amazon.Com Inc vs Target Corporation

AMZN vs TGT

-0.317

Light inverse

When one moves up, the other tends to move down.

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

Market cap 2.3T

TGT logo

Target Corporation

TGT

Target's start dates back to 1962, but now it is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States (where it derives all of its sales), operating just under 2,000 stores and generating over $106 billion in fiscal 2024 sales. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2024 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (23%), hardlines (15%), as well as home furnishings (16%). Target's model is anchored in its physical store base, which fulfills more than 97% of sales. Around 30% of sales are derived from its own private-label brands.

Market cap 55.3B · 415,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyConsumer

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: AMZNGray: TGT36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

TGT leads AMZN by 6 days

TGT tends to move before AMZN.

Best correlation after shifting: -0.334 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.063

12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.664

9 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.631

14 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

10.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [-0.366, -0.266]

Scatter

XY Regression

75.380100120140160180200220240241.977.4100150200250271.3Amazon.Com IncTarget CorporationData pointsFit (r = -0.317)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Market cap 2.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

TGT logo

Target Corporation

TGT

Market cap 55.3B · 415,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

23

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

-0.3562

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

215.4632

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-tgt-daily-20260408-z589r7