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Correlation Analysis

Amazon.Com Inc vs MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

AMZN vs MPC

+0.481

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

Market cap 2.3T

MPC logo

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

MPC

Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the U.S.; its Dickinson, North Dakota facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.

Market cap 71.1B · 18,500 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyEnergy

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: AMZNGray: MPC36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

MPC leads AMZN by 6 days

MPC tends to move before AMZN.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.483 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.477

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

N/A

4 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.779

17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

23.1%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

52.8%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.437, 0.522]

Scatter

XY Regression

75.380100120140160180200220240241.937.450100150200250260.8Amazon.Com IncMARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATIONData pointsFit (r = 0.481)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Market cap 2.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

MPC logo

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

MPC

Market cap 71.1B · 18,500 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

23

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.5191

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

45.4452

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-mpc-daily-20260408-iuu3cx