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Correlation Analysis

Amazon.Com Inc vs Illinois Tool Works Inc.

AMZN vs ITW

+0.642

Moderate positive

When one moves up, the other tends to follow.

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.

Market cap 2.3T

ITW logo

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

ITW

Founded in 1912, Illinois Tool Works has become a diversified industrial manufacturer through acquisitions and innovations that follow customer needs. ITW operates through seven business segments, with no segment representing more than one-fifth of revenue. ITW's automotive OEM segment sells vehicle components; its food equipment segment sells commercial kitchen appliances; its test and measurement and electronics segment sells inspection and analysis equipment; its welding segment sells welding equipment and consumables; its polymers and fluids segment sells industrial and consumer adhesives, solvents, and coatings; its construction products segment sells building fasteners and tools; and its specialty products segment sells medical, packaging, HVAC, and airport ground equipment.

Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees

Apr 9, 2021 — Apr 7, 2026Daily1,254 observationsStockStockTechnologyIndustrials

Time Series

Rebased to 100

Green: AMZNGray: ITW36 of 1,254 points (sampled)

Who Moves First

in sync

AMZN and ITW tend to move at the same time.

Best correlation after shifting: +0.642 (13 shifts scanned)

Do They Crash Together?

Correlation by Market Regime

How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.

Both Rising

+0.107

14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose

Both Falling

+0.209

8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell

Diverging

-0.728

13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart

R-Squared

41.3%

Share of variance in one series explained by the other.

Trend Agreement

59.5%

How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.

Overlap Quality

1,254

Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.

Significance

p < 0.001

95% CI: [0.609, 0.674]

Scatter

XY Regression

75.380100120140160180200220240241.9179.5180200220240260280300307.3Amazon.Com IncIllinois Tool Works Inc.Data pointsFit (r = 0.642)

Pipeline

Data quality details

Pipeline Summary

1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.

Raw input

1,254

1,254

Normalized

1,254

1,254

Prepared

1,254

1,254

Aligned

1,254

1,254

Invalid removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Duplicates removed

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Alignment drops

0

A: 0 / B: 0

Series A

AMZN logo

Amazon.Com Inc

AMZN

Market cap 2.3T

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Series B

ITW logo

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

ITW

Market cap 74.5B · 43,000 employees

Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared

Sign agreement

100.0%

How often both values share the same sign.

Zero crossings

64

Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.

Slope

0.3306

Linear regression slope.

Intercept

183.5182

Linear regression intercept.

Related Extremes

Highest and Lowest Correlated

Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-itw-daily-20260408-ado1yb