Correlation Analysis
Amazon.Com Inc vs Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock
AMZN vs AFRM
+0.598
Moderate positive
When one moves up, the other tends to follow.
Amazon.Com Inc
↗AMZN
Amazon is the leading online retailer and marketplace for third party sellers. Retail related revenue represents approximately 74% of total, followed by Amazon Web Services (17%), and advertising services (9%). International segments constitute 22% of Amazon's total revenue, led by Germany, the United Kingdom, and Japan.
Market cap 2.3T
Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock
↗AFRM
Founded in 2012, Affirm is a market leader in the buy-now, pay-later space with around $36 billion in transaction volume in fiscal 2025. Affirm offers both zero-interest financing, which is merchant subsidized, and interest-bearing loans, which function as personal loans that are approved on a per-transaction basis. Over 70% of Affirm's transaction volume comes from its interest-bearing loans, which also comprise the majority of its revenue. Affirm operates in the United States, which accounted for more than 95% of its revenue in 2025, but the firm has also expanded to Canada and the United Kingdom.
Market cap 16.1B · 2,206 employees
Who Moves First
in sync
AMZN and AFRM tend to move at the same time.
Best correlation after shifting: +0.598 (13 shifts scanned)
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.397
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.378
10 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.528
11 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
35.7%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
66.9%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [0.561, 0.632]
Time Series
Rebased to 100
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired observations survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Amazon.Com Inc
AMZN
Market cap 2.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock
AFRM
Market cap 16.1B · 2,206 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
33
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.4306
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-24.3109
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Highest
+0.941
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF
GBTC · 1,066 observations
Lowest
-0.877
Humana Inc.
HUM · 1,254 observations
AFRM
Affirm Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Highest
+0.560
Tesla, Inc. Common Stock
TSLA · 1,254 observations
Lowest
-0.411
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM · 1,254 observations
Saved 3 hours ago · ID: stock-amzn-vs-stock-afrm-daily-20260408-0viklc