Correlation Analysis
Archer Daniels Midland Company vs Mastercard Incorporated
ADM vs MA
-0.717
Strong inverse
When one moves up, the other tends to move down.
Archer Daniels Midland Company
↗ADM
Archer-Daniels-Midland is a major processor of oilseeds, corn, wheat, and other agricultural commodities. The company is also one of the largest grain merchandisers through its extensive network of logistical assets to store and transport crops around the globe. ADM also runs a nutrition business that focuses on both human and animal ingredients and is a large producer of corn-based sweeteners, starches, and ethanol.
Market cap 35.4B · 41,496 employees
Mastercard Incorporated
↗MA
Mastercard is the second-largest payment processor in the world, having processed close to $11 trillion in volume during 2025. Mastercard operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 150 currencies.
Market cap 447.2B
Time Series
Relative Performance
Who Moves First
ADM leads MA by 6 days
ADM tends to move before MA.
After testing 13 timing shifts, the strongest relationship was -0.726 (they moved in opposite directions).
Do They Crash Together?
Correlation by Market Regime
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-0.191
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0.279
7 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.725
21 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
R-Squared
51.4%
Share of variance in one series explained by the other.
Trend Agreement
55.3%
How often both series moved in the same direction period-to-period.
Overlap Quality
1,254
Deep shared window — 1,254 usable pairs.
Significance
p < 0.001
95% CI: [-0.743, -0.689]
Scatter
XY Regression
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline
Data quality details
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Archer Daniels Midland Company
ADM
Market cap 35.4B · 41,496 employees
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Mastercard Incorporated
MA
Market cap 447.2B
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-4.7492
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
754.8759
Linear regression intercept.
Related Extremes
Highest and Lowest Correlated
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland Company
Highest
+0.176
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ · 1,254 data points
Lowest
-0.772
NetFlix Inc
NFLX · 1,254 data points
Saved 7 hours ago · ID: stock-adm-vs-stock-ma-daily