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Correlation
of % moves
-51%
In sync
of periods
31%
History
daysdays · through 2026-07-06
365
These move in the same direction about 31% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~26% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
31%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-51%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
365 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
368
9,223
Normalized
368
9,223
Prepared
368
9,223
Aligned
365
365
Invalid removed
26%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
364
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-51%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
364 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-51%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-51%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-2%
40 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+5%
47 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
162 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
8,861
A: 3 / B: 8858
Series A
Block, Inc. (XYZ)
XYZ
Stock · 368 raw → 368 prepared
Series B
VIX
VIXCLS
FRED · 9,223 raw → 9,223 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-1.2506
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0003
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-vixcls_stock-xyz_daily_5y