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Block, Inc. (XYZ) vs Total Consumer Credit
Correlation
of % moves
-45%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
16
These move in the same direction about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~21% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Total Consumer Credit moves ~3 months before XYZ
Watch Total Consumer Credit for an early read on XYZ.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
47%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-45%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
368
1,000
Normalized
368
1,000
Prepared
19
1,000
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
21%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
-3 months
Correlation at this shift
+52%
+6% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Consumer Credit shifted 3 months later. Reads: "Does Block, Inc. (XYZ) today line up with Total Consumer Credit 3 months ago?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-45%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-3 months
+52%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+61%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
987
A: 3 / B: 984
Series A
Block, Inc. (XYZ)
XYZ
Stock · 368 raw → 19 prepared
Series B
Total Consumer Credit
TOTALSL
FRED · 1,000 raw → 1,000 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0112
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0024
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-totalsl_stock-xyz_monthly_5y