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Block, Inc. (XYZ) vs Job Openings
Correlation
of % moves
+44%
In sync
of periods
60%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
16
These move in the same direction about 60% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~20% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
XYZ moves ~2 months before Job Openings
Watch XYZ for an early read on Job Openings.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
60.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+44%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-9% → +78%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
350
305
Normalized
350
305
Prepared
18
305
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
19.6%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
16
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
+2 months
Correlation at this shift
-56%
+11% stronger than no-shift baseline
Job Openings shifted 2 months earlier. Reads: "Does Block, Inc. (XYZ) today line up with Job Openings 2 months from now?"
13 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+44%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+2 months
-56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
N/A
4 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+5%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-79%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
291
A: 2 / B: 289
Series A
Block, Inc. (XYZ)
XYZ
Stock · 350 raw → 18 prepared
Series B
Job Openings
JTSJOL
FRED · 305 raw → 305 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
8
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1654
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0048
Linear regression intercept.
Saved last month · ID: fred-jtsjol_stock-xyz_monthly_5y