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Block, Inc. (XYZ) vs US Core CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+59%
In sync
of periods
50%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
15
These move in the same direction about 50% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~34% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
50.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+59%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+8% → +85%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
15 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
337
831
Normalized
337
831
Prepared
17
831
Aligned
15
15
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
34.4%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
15
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -4 to 4 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+59%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
14 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+59%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+59%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+25%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+76%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
818
A: 2 / B: 816
Series A
Block, Inc. (XYZ)
XYZ
Stock · 337 raw → 17 prepared
Series B
US Core CPI
CPILFESL
FRED · 831 raw → 831 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0035
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0024
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-cpilfesl_stock-xyz_monthly_5y