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Correlation
of % moves
+53%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
16
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~28% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+53%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
16 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
368
952
Normalized
368
952
Prepared
19
952
Aligned
16
16
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
28%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
14
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -2 to 2 months.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+53%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
14 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+53%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+53%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+34%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
+75%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
939
A: 3 / B: 936
Series A
Block, Inc. (XYZ)
XYZ
Stock · 368 raw → 19 prepared
Series B
US CPI
CPIAUCSL
FRED · 952 raw → 952 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0090
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0032
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-cpiaucsl_stock-xyz_monthly_5y