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Block, Inc. (XYZ) vs Sticky Price CPI
Correlation
of % moves
+57%
In sync
of periods
67%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
19
These move in the same direction about 67% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~32% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
XYZ moves ~7 months before Sticky Price CPI
Watch XYZ for an early read on Sticky Price CPI.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
67%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+57%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+14% → +82%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
19 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
409
703
Normalized
409
703
Prepared
21
703
Aligned
19
19
Invalid removed
R²(i)
32%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
18
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -8 to 8 months.
Selected shift
+7 months
Correlation at this shift
+67%
+10% stronger than no-shift baseline
Sticky Price CPI shifted 7 months earlier. Reads: "Does Block, Inc. (XYZ) today line up with Sticky Price CPI 7 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+57%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+7 months
+67%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+73%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+72%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-22%
6 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
686
A: 2 / B: 684
Series A
Block, Inc. (XYZ)
XYZ
Stock · 409 raw → 21 prepared
Series B
Sticky Price CPI
CORESTICKM159SFRBATL
FRED · 703 raw → 703 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1884
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0148
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-corestickm159sfrbatl_stock-xyz_monthly_5y