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Monero (XMR) vs Total Consumer Credit
Correlation
of % moves
-26%
In sync
of periods
68%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
23
These move in the same direction about 68% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~7% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Total Consumer Credit moves ~5 months before XMR
Watch Total Consumer Credit for an early read on XMR.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
68%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-26%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-62% → +18%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
1,003
Normalized
729
1,003
Prepared
25
1,003
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
7%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-5 months
Correlation at this shift
-65%
+39% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Consumer Credit shifted 5 months later. Reads: "Does Monero (XMR) today line up with Total Consumer Credit 5 months ago?"
17 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-26%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 months
-65%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-47%
14 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-38%
7 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
982
A: 2 / B: 980
Series A
Monero (XMR)
XMR
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Total Consumer Credit
TOTALSL
FRED · 1,003 raw → 1,003 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0100
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0014
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: crypto-xmr_fred-totalsl_monthly_5y