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Monero (XMR) vs Total Vehicle Sales
Correlation
of % moves
-51%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
24
These move in the same direction about 48% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~26% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Total Vehicle Sales moves ~13 months before XMR
Watch Total Vehicle Sales for an early read on XMR.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-51%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
24 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
606
Normalized
729
606
Prepared
25
606
Aligned
24
24
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
26%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -13 to 13 months.
Selected shift
-13 months
Correlation at this shift
+59%
+7% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Vehicle Sales shifted 13 months later. Reads: "Does Monero (XMR) today line up with Total Vehicle Sales 13 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-51%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-13 months
+59%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-54%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-67%
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
583
A: 1 / B: 582
Series A
Monero (XMR)
XMR
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Total Vehicle Sales
TOTALSA
FRED · 606 raw → 606 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1585
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0065
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: crypto-xmr_fred-totalsa_monthly_5y