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Monero (XMR) vs Building Permits
Correlation
of % moves
-39%
In sync
of periods
32%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
23
These move in the same direction about 32% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~16% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Building Permits moves ~5 months before XMR
Watch Building Permits for an early read on XMR.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
32%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-39%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
797
Normalized
729
797
Prepared
25
797
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
16%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
22
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -12 to 12 months.
Selected shift
-5 months
Correlation at this shift
-61%
+22% stronger than no-shift baseline
Building Permits shifted 5 months later. Reads: "Does Monero (XMR) today line up with Building Permits 5 months ago?"
17 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-39%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 months
-61%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+32%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
776
A: 2 / B: 774
Series A
Monero (XMR)
XMR
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Building Permits
PERMIT
FRED · 797 raw → 797 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.1214
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0037
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: crypto-xmr_fred-permit_monthly_5y