SeriesMagCorrOverlapThrough
These move opposite each other about 62% of the time
Strong inverse
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Filecoin
FIL
Storage · USD pair
Monero
XMR
Privacy · USD pair
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recent correlation (+43%) is 3.0σ from the long-run average of -75% — pair is behaving differently than usual.
Holds across regimes
Correlation is similar when markets rise (+10%) and fall (-0%) — reliable in both directions.
Regime-dependent
The correlation has flipped sign across time windows — not reliable as a standalone signal.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-75%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
730 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Monero at original dates
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Corr
-75%
Pearson correlation
95% CI
-78% → -72%
Likely range
R²
56.5%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
62.4%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
730
Robust
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
730 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
730
Normalized
730
730
Prepared
730
730
Aligned
730
730
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+10%
95 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-0%
86 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-33%
68 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Filecoin
FIL
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
Monero
XMR
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
7
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-48.4538
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
413.2743
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 days ago · ID: crypto:fil|crypto:xmr|5Y