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Monero (XMR) vs Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
Correlation
of % moves
+31%
In sync
of periods
62%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
23
These move in the same direction about 62% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
XMR moves ~6 months before Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
Watch XMR for an early read on Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
61.9%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+31%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-14% → +66%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
506
Normalized
729
506
Prepared
25
506
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
9.8%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 months.
Selected shift
+6 months
Correlation at this shift
+39%
+8% stronger than no-shift baseline
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef shifted 6 months earlier. Reads: "Does Monero (XMR) today line up with Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef 6 months from now?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 months
+39%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+17%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-54%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
485
A: 2 / B: 483
Series A
Monero (XMR)
XMR
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
APU0000703112
FRED · 506 raw → 506 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0341
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0114
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-xmr_fred-apu0000703112_monthly_5y