Correlation
of % moves
+5%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
daysdays · through 2026-04-24
492
These move in the same direction about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~0% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
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Advanced
Statistics
Approximate (legacy record)In sync(i)
46.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+5%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
492 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
730
11,370
Normalized
730
11,370
Prepared
730
11,370
Aligned
492
492
Invalid removed
R²(i)
0.3%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points
492
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+5%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
249 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+5%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+5%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-5%
65 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+4%
65 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-26%
119 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
11,116
A: 238 / B: 10878
Series A
Stellar (XLM)
XLM
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Series B
USD/HKD Exchange Rate
DEXHKUS
FRED · 11,370 raw → 11,370 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
6
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0009
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0000
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 days ago · ID: crypto-xlm_fred-dexhkus_5y
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Top 10 by absolute correlation
Ranked across both sides of this comparison using the same dense row format as the single-symbol correlations view.