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Stellar (XLM) vs Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
Correlation
of % moves
-13%
In sync
of periods
38%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
23
These move in the same direction about 38% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef moves ~5 months before XLM
Watch Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef for an early read on XLM.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
38.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-13%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-53% → +32%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
23 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
729
506
Normalized
729
506
Prepared
25
506
Aligned
23
23
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
1.6%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
23
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 months.
Selected shift
-5 months
Correlation at this shift
+68%
+55% stronger than no-shift baseline
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef shifted 5 months later. Reads: "Does Stellar (XLM) today line up with Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef 5 months ago?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-13%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-5 months
+68%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-23%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-34%
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
485
A: 2 / B: 483
Series A
Stellar (XLM)
XLM
Crypto · 729 raw → 25 prepared
Series B
Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef
APU0000703112
FRED · 506 raw → 506 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0078
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0126
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-xlm_fred-apu0000703112_monthly_5y