SeriesMag|r|OverlapThrough
Correlation Analysis
NVDA vs WMT
These move together about 53% of the time
Very strong positive
Strong enough to use as a signal — read the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Nvidia is a leading developer of graphics processing units. Traditionally, GPUs were used to enhance the experience on computing platforms, most notably in gaming applications on PCs. GPU use cases have since emerged as important semiconductors used in artificial intelligence to run large language models. Nvidia not only offers AI GPUs, but also a software platform, Cuda, used for AI model development and training. Nvidia is also expanding its data center networking solutions, helping to tie GPUs together to handle complex workloads.
Market cap 4.3T
Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam's Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly. In aggregate, the firm posted more than $680 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its core operations span three reporting segments: Walmart US (68% of fiscal 2025 sales), Walmart International (18%), and Sam's Club (14%). Within the US, nearly 60% of its $465 billion in fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, with another quarter from general merchandise. Internationally, Walmart's operations are concentrated in Mexico, though it also has budding exposure to India.
What to Watch
NVDA moves ~6 days before WMT
Watch NVDA for an early read on WMT.
Tighter in drawdowns
Pair moves more tightly when both fall (+0.89) than when both rise (+0.23) — typical risk-off behaviour.
Time Series
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
+6 days
Correlation at this shift
+0.956
+0.00 stronger than no-shift baseline
Walmart Inc. Common Stock shifted 6 days earlier. Reads: "Does Nvidia Corp today line up with Walmart Inc. Common Stock 6 days from now?"
1,248 overlapping points at this shift
Time series with Walmart Inc. Common Stock shifted 6 days earlier
Indexed to 100 at start
Deep Dive
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+0.227
18 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+0.891
5 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-0.746
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
r
+0.954
Pearson correlation
95% CI
0.95 → 0.96
Likely range
R²
91.0%
Variance explained
Trend agreement
53.1%
Same-direction moves
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
1,254
Deep
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
1,254 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
1,254
Normalized
1,254
1,254
Prepared
1,254
1,254
Aligned
1,254
1,254
Invalid removed
Explore
The strongest positive and inverse pairs we’ve saved for each side of this comparison — good jumping-off points if this result raised a question.
Market cap 1T
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Series A
Nvidia Corp
NVDA
Market cap 4.3T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Walmart Inc. Common Stock
WMT
Market cap 1T
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.3831
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
37.5637
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: stock-nvda-vs-stock-wmt-daily-20260408-oe4zje