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Correlation
of % moves
-41%
In sync
of periods
38%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-22
498
These move in the same direction about 38% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~17% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Rock solid
The relationship barely changes from period to period — treat it as a reliable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
38.1%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-48% → -33%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
498 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
729
Normalized
1,254
729
Prepared
1,254
729
Aligned
498
498
Invalid removed
R²(i)
16.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
498
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-41%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
497 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-41%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-18%
38 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-15%
63 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-51%
148 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
987
A: 756 / B: 231
Series A
iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN (VXX)
VXX
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Chainlink (LINK)
LINK
Crypto · 729 raw → 729 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
20
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.4680
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0019
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: crypto-link_stock-vxx_daily_5y