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Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock (VRSK) vs Real gross domestic product per capita
Correlation
of % moves
+38%
In sync
of periods
56%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-01
19
These move in the same direction about 56% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~15% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
VRSK moves ~2 months before Real gross domestic product per capita
Watch VRSK for an early read on Real gross domestic product per capita.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
55.6%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+38%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-10% → +72%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
19 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
1,254
317
Normalized
1,254
317
Prepared
61
317
Aligned
19
19
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
14.8%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
19
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -8 to 8 months.
Selected shift
+2 months
Correlation at this shift
-54%
+16% stronger than no-shift baseline
Real gross domestic product per capita shifted 2 months earlier. Reads: "Does Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock (VRSK) today line up with Real gross domestic product per capita 2 months from now?"
16 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+38%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+2 months
-54%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
340
A: 42 / B: 298
Series A
Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock (VRSK)
VRSK
Stock · 1,254 raw → 61 prepared
Series B
Real gross domestic product per capita
A939RX0Q048SBEA
FRED · 317 raw → 317 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0166
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0044
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-a939rx0q048sbea_stock-vrsk_monthly_5y