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Veralto Corporation (VLTO) vs M1 Money Supply
Correlation
of % moves
-41%
In sync
of periods
45%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
32
These move in the same direction about 45% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely mirror each other (~17% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
VLTO moves ~15 months before M1 Money Supply
Watch VLTO for an early read on M1 Money Supply.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-41%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
32 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
694
809
Normalized
694
809
Prepared
34
809
Aligned
32
32
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
17%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
31
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+15 months
Correlation at this shift
-63%
+23% stronger than no-shift baseline
M1 Money Supply shifted 15 months earlier. Reads: "Does Veralto Corporation (VLTO) today line up with M1 Money Supply 15 months from now?"
16 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-41%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+15 months
-63%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-41%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
2 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
779
A: 2 / B: 777
Series A
Veralto Corporation (VLTO)
VLTO
Stock · 694 raw → 34 prepared
Series B
M1 Money Supply
M1SL
FRED · 809 raw → 809 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0261
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0030
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-m1sl_stock-vlto_monthly_5y