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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Unemployment Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-25%
In sync
of periods
52%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
30
These move opposite each other about 52% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~6% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
VG moves ~17 months before Unemployment Rate
Watch VG for an early read on Unemployment Rate.
Tighter in drawdowns
The relationship is stronger when both prices are falling than when both are rising — typical risk-off behaviour.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
52.2%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-25%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-57% → +13%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
30 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
939
Normalized
624
939
Prepared
32
939
Aligned
30
30
Invalid removed
R²(i)
6.4%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
30
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+17 months
Correlation at this shift
+61%
+36% stronger than no-shift baseline
Unemployment Rate shifted 17 months earlier. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Unemployment Rate 17 months from now?"
12 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-25%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+17 months
+61%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+7%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-57%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-64%
17 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
911
A: 2 / B: 909
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Unemployment Rate
UNRATE
FRED · 939 raw → 939 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
4
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0569
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0104
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-unrate_stock-vg_monthly_5y