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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Consumer Sentiment
Correlation
of % moves
+50%
In sync
of periods
70%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
30
These move in the same direction about 70% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~25% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Consumer Sentiment moves ~9 months before VG
Watch Consumer Sentiment for an early read on VG.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
70%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+50%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+15% → +73%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
30 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
623
675
Normalized
623
675
Prepared
32
675
Aligned
30
30
Invalid removed
R²(i)
25%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.01
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
28
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -9 to 9 months.
Selected shift
-9 months
Correlation at this shift
+70%
+20% stronger than no-shift baseline
Consumer Sentiment shifted 9 months later. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Consumer Sentiment 9 months ago?"
10 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+50%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-9 months
+70%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+49%
7 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+18%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-66%
9 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
647
A: 2 / B: 645
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 623 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Consumer Sentiment
UMCSENT
FRED · 675 raw → 675 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
9
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.1964
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0199
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-umcsent_stock-vg_monthly_5y