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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Consumer Sentiment
Correlation
of % moves
+44%
In sync
of periods
75%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-03
30
These move in the same direction about 75% of the time
Their swing sizes loosely line up (~19% of the pattern is shared).
Strong enough to use as a signal — check the stability and regime notes below before relying on it.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
VG moves ~18 months before Consumer Sentiment
Watch VG for an early read on Consumer Sentiment.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
75.0%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+44%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+9% → +69%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
30 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
671
Normalized
624
671
Prepared
32
671
Aligned
30
30
Invalid removed
R²(i)
19.2%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
30
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
+18 months
Correlation at this shift
-56%
+13% stronger than no-shift baseline
Consumer Sentiment shifted 18 months earlier. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Consumer Sentiment 18 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+44%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+18 months
-56%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+4%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-4%
12 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-60%
8 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
643
A: 2 / B: 641
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Consumer Sentiment
UMCSENT
FRED · 671 raw → 671 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.2211
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0153
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-umcsent_stock-vg_monthly_5y