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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Total Consumer Credit
Correlation
of % moves
-23%
In sync
of periods
44%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
29
These move in the same direction about 44% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~5% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Total Consumer Credit moves ~7 months before VG
Watch Total Consumer Credit for an early read on VG.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
44%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-23%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-56% → +17%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
29 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
1,002
Normalized
624
1,002
Prepared
32
1,002
Aligned
29
29
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
5%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
27
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -8 to 8 months.
Selected shift
-7 months
Correlation at this shift
-55%
+32% stronger than no-shift baseline
Total Consumer Credit shifted 7 months later. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Total Consumer Credit 7 months ago?"
13 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-23%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-7 months
-55%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+12%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
1 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-33%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
976
A: 3 / B: 973
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Total Consumer Credit
TOTALSL
FRED · 1,002 raw → 1,002 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0036
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0037
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-totalsl_stock-vg_monthly_5y