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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs 5Y Breakeven Inflation
Correlation
of % moves
+24%
In sync
of periods
60%
History
daysdays · through 2026-09-01
617
These move in the same direction about 60% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A real but noisy link — useful as context, risky as a standalone signal.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently tighter than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
60%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+24%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+17% → +32%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
617 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
624
5,921
Normalized
624
5,921
Prepared
624
5,921
Aligned
617
617
Invalid removed
R²(i)
6%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
615
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+24%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
615 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+24%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+24%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-24%
82 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+1%
76 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-43%
90 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
5,311
A: 7 / B: 5304
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 624 prepared
Series B
5Y Breakeven Inflation
T5YIE
FRED · 5,921 raw → 5,921 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
32
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0804
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0000
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-t5yie_stock-vg_daily_5y