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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Nonfarm Payrolls
Correlation
of % moves
+22%
In sync
of periods
48%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-06
31
These move in the same direction about 48% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~5% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
VG moves ~7 months before Nonfarm Payrolls
Watch VG for an early read on Nonfarm Payrolls.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
48%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+22%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
31 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
1,050
Normalized
624
1,050
Prepared
32
1,050
Aligned
31
31
Invalid removed
Likely range
R²(i)
5%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
29
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -9 to 9 months.
Selected shift
+7 months
Correlation at this shift
+41%
+20% stronger than no-shift baseline
Nonfarm Payrolls shifted 7 months earlier. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Nonfarm Payrolls 7 months from now?"
15 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+22%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+7 months
+41%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+3%
11 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
3 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-2%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
1,020
A: 1 / B: 1019
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Nonfarm Payrolls
PAYEMS
FRED · 1,050 raw → 1,050 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0021
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0016
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-payems_stock-vg_monthly_5y