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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Housing Starts
Correlation
of % moves
+24%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-04
31
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~6% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Housing Starts moves ~17 months before VG
Watch Housing Starts for an early read on VG.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56.7%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+24%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-13% → +55%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
31 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
808
Normalized
624
808
Prepared
32
808
Aligned
31
31
Invalid removed
R²(i)
5.6%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
31
Thin
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -18 to 18 months.
Selected shift
-17 months
Correlation at this shift
-42%
+18% stronger than no-shift baseline
Housing Starts shifted 17 months later. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Housing Starts 17 months ago?"
13 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+24%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
-17 months
-42%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+38%
9 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+29%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-84%
13 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
778
A: 1 / B: 777
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Housing Starts
HOUST
FRED · 808 raw → 808 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0789
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0028
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-houst_stock-vg_monthly_5y