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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Housing Starts
Correlation
of % moves
+23%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-05
30
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~5% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
VG moves ~6 months before Housing Starts
Watch VG for an early read on Housing Starts.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Swings around
Their relationship swings around — sometimes tight, sometimes loose. Don't trust a single snapshot.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
57%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+23%
Based on % moves
95% CI
N/A
Likely range
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
30 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
809
Normalized
624
809
Prepared
32
809
Aligned
30
30
Invalid removed
5%
Variance explained
Significance
N/A
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
28
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -9 to 9 months.
Selected shift
+6 months
Correlation at this shift
+37%
+15% stronger than no-shift baseline
Housing Starts shifted 6 months earlier. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Housing Starts 6 months from now?"
16 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+23%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+6 months
+37%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+41%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-1%
8 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-84%
12 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
781
A: 2 / B: 779
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Housing Starts
HOUST
FRED · 809 raw → 809 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
5
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0849
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0098
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 months ago · ID: fred-houst_stock-vg_monthly_5y