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Venture Global, Inc. (VG) vs Labor Force Participation
Correlation
of % moves
-22%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
monthsmonths · through 2026-07
29
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~5% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping tighter
The recent pattern is tighter than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
VG moves ~5 months before Labor Force Participation
Watch VG for an early read on Labor Force Participation.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Flips between sync and inverse
Sometimes the two move together, sometimes opposite. Don't treat this as a stable signal.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
46%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-22%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-56% → +18%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
29 paired data points survived the monthly window.
Raw input
624
942
Normalized
624
942
Prepared
32
942
Aligned
29
29
Invalid removed
R²(i)
5%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points(i)
26
Limited
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -5 to 5 months.
Selected shift
+5 months
Correlation at this shift
-58%
+36% stronger than no-shift baseline
Labor Force Participation shifted 5 months earlier. Reads: "Does Venture Global, Inc. (VG) today line up with Labor Force Participation 5 months from now?"
11 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-22%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
+5 months
-58%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-59%
5 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-14%
6 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-54%
15 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
916
A: 3 / B: 913
Series A
Venture Global, Inc. (VG)
VG
Stock · 624 raw → 32 prepared
Series B
Labor Force Participation
CIVPART
FRED · 942 raw → 942 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
3
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0027
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0005
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 4 months ago · ID: fred-civpart_stock-vg_monthly_5y