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Correlation
of % moves
+31%
In sync
of periods
57%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-28
501
These move in the same direction about 57% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~10% of the pattern is shared).
A faint pattern — interesting as colour, not strong enough to act on alone.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Unusual right now
Recently looser than usual — the pair is behaving differently than its long-run pattern.
Decouples in drawdowns
The relationship weakens when both prices are falling — don't count on this pair as a hedge under stress.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
56.8%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+31%
Based on % moves
95% CI
+23% → +39%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
501 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
1,254
730
Normalized
1,254
730
Prepared
1,254
730
Aligned
501
501
Invalid removed
R²(i)
9.5%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.001
Statistical confidence
Data points
501
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+31%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
500 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+31%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+31%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+38%
78 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
+11%
67 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-61%
104 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
982
A: 753 / B: 229
Series A
U.S. Bancorp (USB)
USB
Stock · 1,254 raw → 1,254 prepared
Series B
Bitcoin (BTC)
BTC
Crypto · 730 raw → 730 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
26
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.5485
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
-0.0002
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: crypto-btc_stock-usb_daily_5y