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USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR) vs USD/VES Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
+10%
In sync
of periods
46%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
293
These move in the same direction about 46% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly line up (~1% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
Both lines start at the same point — easy to compare when growth rates are similar.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
45.9%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
+10%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-1% → +21%
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
293 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
300
6,606
Normalized
300
6,606
Prepared
300
6,606
Aligned
293
293
Invalid removed
Likely range of correlation
R²(i)
1.0%
Variance explained
Significance
n.s.
Statistical confidence
Data points
293
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
+10%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
292 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
+10%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
+10%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
+11%
104 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
N/A
0 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-14%
145 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
6,320
A: 7 / B: 6313
Series A
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR)
USAR
Stock · 300 raw → 300 prepared
Series B
USD/VES Exchange Rate
DEXVZUS
FRED · 6,606 raw → 6,606 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
1
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
0.0072
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0070
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 2 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexvzus_stock-usar_daily_5y