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USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR) vs USD/KRW Exchange Rate
Correlation
of % moves
-14%
In sync
of periods
47%
History
daysdays · through 2026-05-15
293
These move in the same direction about 47% of the time
Their swing sizes only faintly mirror each other (~2% of the pattern is shared).
Roughly random — these don't track each other in a meaningful way.
On a log scale so equal % moves take equal vertical space — best when one series has grown much faster than the other.
What to Watch
Slipping looser
The recent pattern is looser than its long-run baseline — keep an eye on whether this sticks.
Holds in both up and down markets
The relationship is similar whether prices are rising or falling — reliable in both directions.
Mostly stable
The relationship drifts a little but stays in the same neighbourhood.
Advanced
Statistics
In sync(i)
47.4%
Headline metric
Movement correlation(i)
-14%
Based on % moves
95% CI
-25% → -3%
Likely range of correlation
Pipeline
Pipeline Summary
293 paired data points survived the daily window.
Raw input
303
11,271
Normalized
303
11,271
Prepared
303
11,271
Aligned
293
293
Invalid removed
R²(i)
2.0%
Variance explained
Significance
p < 0.05
Statistical confidence
Data points
293
Robust
Time-Shifted Correlation
See how correlation changes when one series is offset in time. A taller bar at a non-zero shift means the two move together better when one leads the other — that's a potential lead/lag signal.
Correlation by shift
Click a bar to inspect. Range: -6 to 6 days.
Selected shift
No shift
Correlation at this shift
-14%
No shift — both series at their actual dates.
292 overlapping points at this shift
Baseline
-14%
No-shift correlation, matching the main time-series chart above.
Peak shift
No shift
-14%
A non-zero peak suggests one series lines up better when shifted against the other.
Stability
How the correlation evolves over time. A stable line means the relationship is reliable; large swings signal regime-dependent behavior.
Do They Crash Together?
How these series behave when markets are rising, falling, or diverging. A correlation that holds in drawdowns is very different from one that only works in rallies.
Both Rising
-4%
60 periods · Return correlation when both series rose
Both Falling
-14%
55 periods · Return correlation when both series fell
Diverging
-50%
134 periods · Return correlation when series moved apart
Scatter
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Duplicates removed
0
A: 0 / B: 0
Alignment drops
10,988
A: 10 / B: 10978
Series A
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock (USAR)
USAR
Stock · 303 raw → 303 prepared
Series B
USD/KRW Exchange Rate
DEXKOUS
FRED · 11,271 raw → 11,271 prepared
Sign agreement
100.0%
How often both values share the same sign.
Zero crossings
10
Estimated crossover points between normalized spreads.
Slope
-0.0102
Linear regression slope.
Intercept
0.0001
Linear regression intercept.
Saved 3 weeks ago · ID: fred-dexkous_stock-usar_daily_5y